|
Table 3: Significance tests for select comparisons of results reported in table 2 |
||||
|
|
Opposite-sex Twins |
Same-sex DZ Twins |
||
|
Compared to respondents who have a. |
Female |
Male |
Female |
Male |
|
Same-sex dizygotic twin |
.567 |
.027 |
- |
- |
|
Same-sex
monozygotic twin |
.328 |
.033 |
.652 |
.956 |
|
Opposite-sex full sibling |
.186 |
.000 |
.414 |
.235 |
|
Same-sex full sibling |
.293 |
.000 |
.631 |
.350 |
|
Other |
.057 |
.018 |
.350 |
.960 |
|
Entire genetic sample |
.141 |
.000 |
.134 |
.708 |
|
Compared to . |
|
|
|
|
|
Full non-genetic sample |
.435 |
.000 |
.483 |
.807 |
|
Non-genetic sample, 1 sibling |
.204 |
.000 |
.925 |
.681 |
Socialization Effect
Male
adolescents who have a female twin are more likely to report a same-sex
attraction than any other group in these data (16.8 %, table 1, row 1)14.
Female adolescents with a male twin, while not different from others, are
significantly less likely to report a same-sex attraction than their male
counterparts. This result points toward gender-specific differences in
socialization.
Specifically,
negative sanctioning of behavior that suggests femininity and/or homosexuality
is a stronger component of male socialization than comparable sanctioning of masculinity for female socialization.
Girls wear pants but boys don.t wear skirts.
Table
3 reports significance tests for selected comparisons of the proportions
reported in table 2.
We report probabilities for
equality of proportion with same-sex orientation, calculated for the
13
The literature reviewed above dealt mostly with self-identified
homosexuality. In the light of cultural and social variation in identity
formation, focusing on same-sex romantic attraction rather than
self-identification, should help separating biological effects from social
influence. In any event, same-sex romantic attraction is a strong predictor of subsequent
behavior. In our sample, adolescents who report same-sex attraction in wave 2
are much more likely than others to report same-sex dating, romantic, and
sexual contact in the third wave (for males, 8.8 % compared to 1.6 %, p=0.0001,
N=7174; for females, 9.5 % compared to 1.7 %, p=0.0001, N=7490).
14
When including respondents with more than one sibling, results
do not change (for females, P=0.481; for males, P=0.027). For this analysis,
respondents were classified hierarchically in the order shown (thus, a
respondent who was in a pair of OS twins and a pair of SS full siblings is
classified as an OS twin).
Strana 10
shows
the probability that the proportion of teens with same-sex romantic attraction
among females with a male twin
equals the proportion of teens with same-sex romantic attraction among females
with a SSDZ twin (.567).
The
observed difference in same-sex romantic attraction between male SSDZ and OS
twins (table 2, row 1 (16.8%), table 2, row 2 (9.8%), a 7 point percentage
difference, P=0.027) cannot be explained by the genetic model. Males with a
female twin are more than twice as likely to report a same-sex romantic
attraction than males with a full sister (table 2, rows 1 (16.8%), and 4
(7.3%), P<0.000). Males in OS twin pairs are more likely to report same-sex
attraction than males in the full non-genetic sample, and males with
one-sibling in the non-genetic sample (rows 8 and 9 in table 2, P<0.000 for
both comparisons).
Still,
these results are compatible with both the social influence and intrauterine
hormone transfer hypotheses, although prior evidence for the effect of shared
intrauterine environment suggests masculinization of females rather than
feminization of males. Here, we observe the obverse. We now disentangle social
influence from hormonal influence.
Older siblings and same-sex romantic attraction
Hormonal
transfer should be insensitive to birth order. If the observed prevalence of
same-sex orientation among males in OS twin pairs is an outcome of a
socialization process, the presence of older siblings should have an effect on
OS twins. sexual orientation. Specifically, equality norms put constraints on
the extent to which parents and others engage in gender-socializing behavior
towards opposite-sex twins. If opposite-sex twins have older same-sex siblings,
gendersocializing mechanisms in the
family may be locked-in. Parents will be more likely to negatively sanction
gender-atypical behavior among OS twins if those twins have older siblings who
are discouraged from gender-atypical behavior. Similarly, gender markers
(clothes, toys, and rituals) may already exist in the repertoire of such
families and be applied to OS twins. Consequently, older siblings should reduce
the prevalence of homosexual attraction for opposite-sex twins under a social
influence model. If the hormonal transfer hypothesis holds, no such reduction
should be observed.
Among
male opposite-sex twins, the proportion reporting a same-sex romantic
attraction is twice as high among those without older brothers (18.7 %) than
among those with older brothers (8.8 %). No such difference obtains for female
opposite-sex twins, who are unlikely to report a samesex attraction whether
they have older sisters or not (5.1 % versus 5.7 %). If differences between OS
twins and others were based on prenatal hormonal transfers, older brothers
should not decrease the likelihood of reporting same-sex romantic attraction.
Based on the evolutionary dynamics model, in contrast, individuals with older
siblings should be more likely
to report samesex attraction. We now turn to this hypothesis.
________________________________________________
15
Arguably, a chi-square test is inappropriate because the data
violate the assumption of independent observations
(siblings
are not sampled independent from each other). If same-sex romantic attraction
was determined by genes, and
observations
are paired with respect to their genes, one set of genes is .duplicated. in the
proportions calculated for
same-sex
pairs in table 2. Thus, the comparison of OS twins with SSMZ twins is
.conservative. with respect to the
social
influence hypothesis, since each gene set enters the calculations only once for
OS pairs but twice for the SSMZ
pairs,
thus concordance should be higher for SSMZ pairs.
Strana 11
Birth Order Effect
As
noted earlier, a speculative evolutionary theory suggests that that
homosexuality increases fitness for individuals with many older siblings. The
idea is that individuals sacrifice their specific interests in order to
maximize group success. In this case, the theory suggests that younger
brothers, unable to compete with their older bothers for access to women, help
the family unit by engaging in cooperative raising of their elder brothers.
children, at the same time, shifting the focus of their erotic interests to
men. Under this model, engagement in co-operative raising of older siblings.
offspring may be more likely to succeed (in increasing group fitness) than
attempts at procreation. Thus, the proportion of individuals reporting
homosexual orientation should increase with number of older (full) siblings.
This hypothesis is addressed in table 4. As expected,
we
find no association between same-sex attraction and number of older siblings,
older brothers, or older sisters16.
|
Table 4: Logistic regression of same-sex romantic attraction on number of older siblings |
|||||||||
|
|
All |
Female |
Male |
||||||
|
|
OR |
95 % c. i. |
OR |
95 % c. i. |
OR |
95 % c. i. |
|||
|
N of older siblings |
|||||||||
|
1 |
.91 |
.71 |
1.17 |
.80 |
.50 |
1.26 |
1.00 |
.78 |
1.30 |
|
2 |
.86 |
.59 |
1.25 |
.80 |
.50 |
1.29 |
.90 |
.53 |
1.90 |
|
3 or more |
.72 |
.37 |
1.41 |
.67 |
.22 |
2.01 |
.78 |
.29 |
2.10 |
|
Prob.
> F (Design-based) |
.57 |
.60 |
.94 |
||||||
|
N of older brothers |
|||||||||
|
1 |
.96 |
.76 |
1.24 |
.84 |
.58 |
1.21 |
1.06 |
.76 |
1.49 |
|
2 or more |
.66 |
.37 |
1.14 |
.64 |
.28 |
1.49 |
.64 |
.29 |
1.44 |
|
Prob.
> F (Design-based) |
.30 |
.52 |
.39 |
||||||
|
N of older sisters |
|||||||||
|
1 |
.88 |
.68 |
1.15 |
.91 |
.58 |
1.42 |
.88 |
.64 |
1.20 |
|
2 or more |
1.00 |
.59 |
1.71 |
.81 |
.32 |
2.05 |
1.18 |
.64 |
2.16 |
|
Prob.
> F (Design-based) |
.65 |
.83 |
.58 |
||||||
